General election 2024

Newcastle upon Tyne East and Wallsend

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Labour

Mary Glindon

Notional 2019 election result

  Labour 55.9%

  Tories 26.9%

  Lib Dem 8.8%

  Brexit Party 4.2%

  Green 4.1%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 60% Newcastle Upon Tyne East (2019), 40% North Tyneside (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

Labour are most likely to have won this seat if these were the boundaries in 2019, so should be best placed to defeat the Tories again this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Labour 48% Green 16% None
Survation Labour 56% Tory 12% Labour
Ipsos Labour 60% Reform 12% Labour
Savanta Labour 61% Reform 14% Labour
Focaldata Labour 59% Reform 16% Labour
WeThink Labour 63% Reform 15% Labour
Electoral Calculus Labour 57% Reform 17% Labour
More in Common Labour 62% Reform 13% Labour
JL Partners Labour 57% Reform 13% Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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