General election 2024


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Lib Dem

Lee Raymond James Dillon

2019 election result

  Tories 57.4%

  Lib Dem 30.6%

  Labour 7.3%

  Green 4.1%

The Lib Dems are in second place in this seat, so are likely to be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Lib Dem 43% Tory 30% Lib Dem
Survation Lib Dem 46% Tory 27% Lib Dem
Ipsos Tory 34% Lib Dem 30% Lib Dem
Savanta Lib Dem 33% Tory 31% Lib Dem
Focaldata Lib Dem 46% Tory 29% Lib Dem
WeThink Lib Dem 38% Tory 30% Lib Dem
Electoral Calculus Lib Dem 41% Tory 34% Lib Dem
More in Common Lib Dem 38% Tory 28% Lib Dem
JL Partners Lib Dem 35% Tory 27% Lib Dem

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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