General election 2024
This constituency was previously "too close to call". We are now making a Labour recommendation to increase alignment between tactical voting websites. We also note that polls show Labour best placed to win.
This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:
| Pollster | Winner | Runner-up | Implied tactical |
|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | Tory 37% | Labour 23% | Labour |
| Survation | Tory 30% | Labour 26% | Labour |
| Ipsos | Tory 39% | Labour 28% | Labour |
| Savanta | Tory 31% | Labour 30% | Labour |
| Focaldata | Tory 35% | Reform 25% | Labour |
| WeThink | Tory 33% | Labour 26% | Labour |
| Electoral Calculus | Tory 37% | Labour 21% | Labour |
| More in Common | Tory 35% | Labour 26% | Labour |
| JL Partners | Tory 32% | Reform 23% | Labour |
Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.
Promoted by the Tactical Voting Coalition, 483 Green Lanes, London N13 4BS