General election 2024

Milton Keynes North

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Chris Curtis

Notional 2019 election result

  Tories 49.6%

  Labour 39.4%

  Lib Dem 7.9%

  Green 2.9%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 81% Milton Keynes North (2019), 19% Milton Keynes South (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

Labour would have been the most likely second place in 2019 under these new boundaries, so should be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Labour 39% Reform 23% Labour
Survation Labour 45% Tory 28% Labour
Ipsos Labour 46% Tory 27% Labour
Savanta Labour 51% Tory 26% Labour
Focaldata Labour 44% Tory 25% Labour
WeThink Labour 46% Tory 28% Labour
Electoral Calculus Labour 50% Tory 23% Labour
More in Common Labour 49% Tory 28% Labour
JL Partners Labour 41% Tory 24% Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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