General election 2024
The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.
This constituency is made up of 37% Charnwood (2019), 9% Loughborough (2019), 54% Rutland and Melton (2019).
For more details on the calculation see the method page.
Labour would have been the most likely second place in 2019 under these new boundaries, so should be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.
This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:
Pollster | Winner | Runner-up | Implied tactical |
---|---|---|---|
YouGov | Labour 33% | Tory 31% | Labour |
Survation | Tory 34% | Labour 33% | Labour |
Ipsos | Tory 36% | Labour 35% | Labour |
Savanta | Labour 38% | Tory 27% | Labour |
Focaldata | Labour 36% | Tory 32% | Labour |
WeThink | Labour 39% | Tory 30% | Labour |
Electoral Calculus | Labour 40% | Tory 24% | Labour |
More in Common | Labour 36% | Tory 35% | Labour |
Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.
Promoted by the Tactical Voting Coalition, 483 Green Lanes, London N13 4BS