General election 2024
The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.
This constituency is made up of 56% Manchester Central (2019), 44% Manchester, Gorton (2019).
For more details on the calculation see the method page.
This is a 'safe' seat for a progressive party. We believe tactical voting is not needed this time. We encourage you to vote for your preferred party.
This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:
| Pollster | Winner | Runner-up | Implied tactical |
|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | Labour 54% | Green 26% | None |
| Survation | Labour 62% | Tory 15% | Labour |
| Ipsos | Labour 65% | Green 21% | None |
| Savanta | Labour 76% | Tory 10% | Labour |
| Focaldata | Labour 72% | Green 9% | None |
| WeThink | Labour 78% | Tory 7% | Labour |
| Electoral Calculus | Labour 67% | Green 14% | None |
| More in Common | Labour 87% | Tory 6% | Labour |
Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.
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