General election 2024
The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.
This constituency is made up of 85% Garston and Halewood (2019), 15% Liverpool, Wavertree (2019).
For more details on the calculation see the method page.
This is a 'safe' seat for a progressive party. We believe tactical voting is not needed this time. We encourage you to vote for your preferred party.
This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:
| Pollster | Winner | Runner-up | Implied tactical |
|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | Labour 57% | Lib Dem 11% | None |
| Survation | Labour 68% | Reform 8% | Labour |
| Ipsos | Labour 68% | Green 9% | None |
| Savanta | Labour 67% | Reform 11% | Labour |
| Focaldata | Labour 70% | Reform 12% | Labour |
| WeThink | Labour 75% | Reform 8% | Labour |
| Electoral Calculus | Labour 63% | Tory 10% | Labour |
| More in Common | Labour 62% | Lib Dem 13% | None |
| JL Partners | Labour 60% | Reform 14% | Labour |
Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.
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