General election 2024
The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.
This constituency is made up of 81% Lewisham East (2019), 11% Lewisham West and Penge (2019), 9% Lewisham, Deptford (2019).
For more details on the calculation see the method page.
This is a 'safe' seat for a progressive party. We believe tactical voting is not needed this time. We encourage you to vote for your preferred party.
This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:
| Pollster | Winner | Runner-up | Implied tactical |
|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | Labour 58% | Green 15% | None |
| Survation | Labour 54% | Tory 12% | Labour |
| Ipsos | Labour 58% | Tory 11% | Labour |
| Savanta | Labour 67% | Tory 15% | Labour |
| Focaldata | Labour 67% | Tory 12% | Labour |
| WeThink | Labour 61% | Tory 12% | Labour |
| Electoral Calculus | Labour 65% | Reform 11% | Labour |
| More in Common | Labour 58% | Tory 14% | Labour |
| JL Partners | Labour 58% | Tory 12% | Labour |
Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.
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