General election 2024


To vote tactically here, vote

Lib Dem

James MacCleary

Notional 2019 election result

  Tories 49.8%

  Lib Dem 41%

  Labour 7.1%

  Green 2.7%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 6% Bexhill and Battle (2019), 8% Eastbourne (2019), 84% Lewes (2019), 3% Wealden (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

The Lib Dems would have been the most likely second place in 2019 under these new boundaries, so should be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Lib Dem 55% Tory 21% Lib Dem
Survation Lib Dem 45% Tory 22% Lib Dem
Ipsos Lib Dem 40% Tory 28% Lib Dem
Savanta Lib Dem 44% Tory 24% Lib Dem
Focaldata Lib Dem 49% Tory 27% Lib Dem
WeThink Lib Dem 44% Tory 27% Lib Dem
Electoral Calculus Lib Dem 55% Tory 24% Lib Dem
More in Common Lib Dem 44% Tory 26% Lib Dem
JL Partners Lib Dem 39% Tory 29% Lib Dem

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

Get updates on tactical voting

This will subscribe you to updates from You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy policy

Promoted by the Tactical Voting Coalition, 483 Green Lanes, London N13 4BS