General election 2024

Leeds South

Tactical voting recommendation

Not needed

Notional 2019 election result

  Labour 60.5%

  Tories 23.9%

  Brexit Party 6.2%

  Lib Dem 4.7%

  Green 4.1%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 90% Leeds Central (2019), 10% Leeds East (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

This is a 'safe' seat for a progressive party. We believe tactical voting is not needed this time. We encourage you to vote for your preferred party.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Labour 58% Green 20% None
Survation Labour 57% Green 18% None
Ipsos Labour 59% Tory 17% Labour
Savanta Labour 66% Tory 22% Labour
Focaldata Labour 69% Tory 14% Labour
WeThink Labour 59% Tory 17% Labour
Electoral Calculus Labour 58% Tory 21% Labour
More in Common Labour 61% Tory 16% Labour
JL Partners Labour 52% Tory 25% Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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