Leeds Central and Headingley

To vote tactically here, vote

Labour

Alex Sobel

Notional 2019 election result

Labour 55.2%

Tories 25.5%

Lib Dem 10.4%

Brexit Party 4.8%

Green 3.5%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 40% Leeds Central (2019), 40% Leeds North West (2019), 20% Leeds West (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

Labour are most likely to have won this seat if these were the boundaries in 2019, so should be best placed to defeat the Tories again this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster	Winner	Runner-up	Implied tactical
YouGov	Labour 60%	Green 13%	None
Survation	Labour 47%	Green 21%	None
Ipsos	Labour 62%	Green 16%	None
Savanta	Labour 62%	Tory 12%	Labour
Focaldata	Labour 59%	Green 11%	None
WeThink	Labour 58%	Lib Dem 12%	None
Electoral Calculus	Labour 64%	Green 10%	None
More in Common	Labour 67%	Tory 11%	Labour
JL Partners	Labour 56%	Lib Dem 13%	None

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.