General election 2024
The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.
This constituency is made up of 96% Knowsley (2019), 4% St Helens South and Whiston (2019).
For more details on the calculation see the method page.
This is a 'safe' seat for a progressive party. We believe tactical voting is not needed this time. We encourage you to vote for your preferred party.
This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:
| Pollster | Winner | Runner-up | Implied tactical |
|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | Labour 69% | Green 13% | None |
| Survation | Labour 75% | Reform 10% | Labour |
| Ipsos | Labour 72% | Green 9% | None |
| Savanta | Labour 72% | Reform 11% | Labour |
| Focaldata | Labour 78% | Reform 13% | Labour |
| WeThink | Labour 79% | Reform 10% | Labour |
| Electoral Calculus | Labour 68% | Reform 11% | Labour |
| More in Common | Labour 68% | Reform 12% | Labour |
| JL Partners | Labour 75% | Reform 11% | Labour |
Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.
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