Kingston and Surbiton

To vote tactically here, vote

Lib Dem

Ed Davey

Notional 2019 election result

Lib Dem 51.3%

Tories 34.5%

Labour 10.2%

Green 1.6%

Brexit Party 1.2%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 91% Kingston and Surbiton (2019), 9% Richmond Park (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

The Lib Dems are most likely to have won this seat if these were the boundaries in 2019, so should be best placed to defeat the Tories again this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster	Winner	Runner-up	Implied tactical
YouGov	Lib Dem 51%	Labour 15%	None
Survation	Lib Dem 50%	Tory 15%	Lib Dem
Ipsos	Lib Dem 50%	Labour 19%	None
Savanta	Lib Dem 56%	Tory 20%	Lib Dem
Focaldata	Lib Dem 53%	Tory 20%	Lib Dem
WeThink	Lib Dem 54%	Tory 17%	Lib Dem
Electoral Calculus	Lib Dem 64%	Reform 17%	Lib Dem
More in Common	Lib Dem 48%	Tory 19%	Lib Dem
JL Partners	Lib Dem 50%	Labour 18%	None

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.