General election 2024
The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.
This constituency is made up of 87% Inverclyde (2019), 13% Paisley and Renfrewshire North (2019).
For more details on the calculation see the method page.
This seat is a contest between two progressive parties. Vote for whichever you prefer.
This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:
| Pollster | Winner | Runner-up | Implied tactical |
|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | Labour 42% | SNP 36% | None |
| Survation | Labour 51% | SNP 27% | None |
| Ipsos | Labour 47% | SNP 34% | None |
| Savanta | Labour 49% | SNP 33% | None |
| Focaldata | Labour 54% | SNP 23% | None |
| WeThink | SNP 38% | Labour 36% | None |
| Electoral Calculus | Labour 44% | SNP 32% | None |
| More in Common | Labour 37% | SNP 30% | None |
| JL Partners | Labour 44% | SNP 30% | None |
Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.
Promoted by the Tactical Voting Coalition, 483 Green Lanes, London N13 4BS