General election 2024


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Harpreet Uppal

Notional 2019 election result

  Labour 47.5%

  Tories 39.1%

  Lib Dem 5.8%

  Green 3.8%

  Brexit Party 3.7%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 17% Colne Valley (2019), 83% Huddersfield (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

Labour are most likely to have won this seat if these were the boundaries in 2019, so should be best placed to defeat the Tories again this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Labour 48% Tory 18% Labour
Survation Labour 52% Tory 17% Labour
Ipsos Labour 58% Tory 20% Labour
Savanta Labour 59% Tory 20% Labour
Focaldata Labour 56% Tory 17% Labour
WeThink Labour 53% Tory 17% Labour
Electoral Calculus Labour 55% Reform 17% Labour
More in Common Labour 56% Tory 19% Labour
JL Partners Labour 43% Tory 21% Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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