General election 2024
The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.
This constituency is made up of 30% East Devon (2019), 70% Tiverton and Honiton (2019).
For more details on the calculation see the method page.
This constituency was previously "too close to call". We are now making a Lib Dem recommendation to increase alignment between tactical voting websites. We also note that it appears to be a Lib Dem target seat and polls show the Lib Dems best placed to win. This constituency includes part of the old Tiverton and Honiton constituency, which the Lib Dems won in a byelection in 2022.
This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:
| Pollster | Winner | Runner-up | Implied tactical |
|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | Lib Dem 38% | Tory 30% | Lib Dem |
| Survation | Tory 27% | Lib Dem 26% | Lib Dem |
| Ipsos | Lib Dem 42% | Tory 29% | Lib Dem |
| Savanta | Lib Dem 37% | Tory 35% | Lib Dem |
| Focaldata | Tory 36% | Lib Dem 25% | Lib Dem |
| WeThink | Lib Dem 33% | Tory 26% | Lib Dem |
| Electoral Calculus | Lib Dem 41% | Tory 28% | Lib Dem |
| More in Common | Tory 38% | Labour 26% | Labour |
Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.
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