Hinckley and Bosworth

To vote tactically here, vote

Labour

Rebecca Pawley

Notional 2019 election result

Tories 63.8%

Labour 17.7%

Lib Dem 15.6%

Green 2.8%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 95% Bosworth (2019), 5% North West Leicestershire (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

Labour would have been the most likely second place in 2019 under these new boundaries, so should be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster	Winner	Runner-up	Implied tactical
YouGov	Tory 37%	Lib Dem 26%	Lib Dem
Survation	Labour 31%	Tory 31%	Labour
Ipsos	Tory 40%	Labour 28%	Labour
Savanta	Labour 31%	Tory 27%	Labour
Focaldata	Tory 33%	Labour 23%	Labour
WeThink	Tory 30%	Labour 26%	Labour
Electoral Calculus	Tory 28%	Lib Dem 28%	Lib Dem
More in Common	Tory 34%	Labour 28%	Labour
JL Partners	Tory 30%	Labour 25%	Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.