General election 2024

Henley and Thame

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Lib Dem

Freddie Van Mierlo

2019 election result

  Tories 54.8%

  Lib Dem 30.9%

  Labour 9.7%

  Green 4.7%

The Lib Dems are in second place in this seat, so are likely to be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Lib Dem 47% Tory 32% Lib Dem
Survation Lib Dem 38% Tory 32% Lib Dem
Ipsos Lib Dem 38% Tory 32% Lib Dem
Savanta Lib Dem 32% Tory 31% Lib Dem
Focaldata Lib Dem 46% Tory 31% Lib Dem
WeThink Lib Dem 39% Tory 29% Lib Dem
Electoral Calculus Lib Dem 46% Tory 24% Lib Dem
More in Common Lib Dem 50% Tory 30% Lib Dem

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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