General election 2024

Hayes and Harlington

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John McDonnell

2019 election result

  Labour 55.8%

  Tories 34.7%

  Lib Dem 4.4%

  Brexit Party 2.9%

  Green 1.7%

Labour won this seat in 2019, so are likely to be best placed to defeat the Tories again this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Labour 52% Tory 18% Labour
Survation Labour 56% Tory 20% Labour
Ipsos Labour 59% Tory 22% Labour
Savanta Labour 62% Tory 22% Labour
Focaldata Labour 57% Tory 17% Labour
WeThink Labour 55% Tory 19% Labour
Electoral Calculus Labour 59% Reform 21% Labour
More in Common Labour 59% Tory 19% Labour
JL Partners Labour 51% Tory 21% Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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