General election 2024
The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.
This constituency is made up of 73% Hampstead and Kilburn (2019), 18% Holborn and St Pancras (2019), 9% Hornsey and Wood Green (2019).
For more details on the calculation see the method page.
This is a 'safe' seat for a progressive party. We believe tactical voting is not needed this time. We encourage you to vote for your preferred party.
This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:
| Pollster | Winner | Runner-up | Implied tactical |
|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | Labour 53% | Lib Dem 16% | None |
| Survation | Labour 47% | Lib Dem 20% | None |
| Ipsos | Labour 59% | Tory 14% | Labour |
| Savanta | Labour 49% | Lib Dem 23% | None |
| Focaldata | Labour 61% | Tory 13% | Labour |
| WeThink | Labour 49% | Lib Dem 21% | None |
| Electoral Calculus | Labour 43% | Tory 18% | Labour |
| More in Common | Labour 52% | Tory 20% | Labour |
Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.
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