General election 2024

Hamilton and Clyde Valley

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SNP

Ross Clark

Notional 2019 election result

  SNP 43.1%

  Tories 26%

  Labour 24.6%

  Lib Dem 5.7%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 11% East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow (2019), 60% Lanark and Hamilton East (2019), 29% Rutherglen and Hamilton West (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

The SNP are most likely to have won this seat if these were the boundaries in 2019, so should be best placed to defeat the Tories again this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Labour 52% SNP 28% None
Survation Labour 57% SNP 16% None
Ipsos Labour 51% SNP 30% None
Savanta Labour 48% SNP 29% None
Focaldata Labour 50% SNP 21% None
WeThink Labour 50% SNP 31% None
Electoral Calculus Labour 45% SNP 30% None
More in Common Labour 49% SNP 25% None
JL Partners Labour 45% SNP 28% None

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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