General election 2024
Labour are in second place in this seat, so are likely to be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.
This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:
| Pollster | Winner | Runner-up | Implied tactical |
|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | Reform 36% | Labour 29% | Labour |
| Survation | Labour 33% | Tory 27% | Labour |
| Ipsos | Labour 43% | Reform 28% | Labour |
| Savanta | Labour 43% | Tory 26% | Labour |
| Focaldata | Labour 35% | Tory 31% | Labour |
| WeThink | Labour 33% | Tory 28% | Labour |
| Electoral Calculus | Labour 33% | Reform 32% | Labour |
| More in Common | Labour 34% | Tory 29% | Labour |
| JL Partners | Tory 32% | Labour 31% | Labour |
Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.
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