General election 2024

Gorton and Denton

Tactical voting recommendation

Not needed

Notional 2019 election result

  Labour 68.2%

  Tories 17.1%

  Lib Dem 6.3%

  Brexit Party 4.7%

  Green 3.5%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 30% Denton and Reddish (2019), 58% Manchester, Gorton (2019), 12% Manchester, Withington (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

This is a 'safe' seat for a progressive party. We believe tactical voting is not needed this time. We encourage you to vote for your preferred party.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Labour 49% Reform 16% Labour
Survation Labour 61% Reform 9% Labour
Ipsos Labour 68% Tory 11% Labour
Savanta Labour 67% Tory 13% Labour
Focaldata Labour 66% Reform 14% Labour
WeThink Labour 70% Tory 10% Labour
Electoral Calculus Labour 64% Reform 15% Labour
More in Common Labour 61% Reform 12% Labour
JL Partners Labour 60% Reform 14% Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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