Goole and Pocklington

To vote tactically here, vote

Labour

Liam Derek Henry Draycott

Notional 2019 election result

Tories 66.3%

Labour 21.4%

Lib Dem 8.3%

Green 3.3%

The Yorkshire Party 1.7%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 32% Brigg and Goole (2019), 21% East Yorkshire (2019), 48% Haltemprice and Howden (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

Labour would have been the most likely second place in 2019 under these new boundaries, so should be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster	Winner	Runner-up	Implied tactical
YouGov	Tory 42%	Labour 30%	Labour
Survation	Labour 37%	Tory 31%	Labour
Ipsos	Labour 38%	Tory 35%	Labour
Savanta	Labour 36%	Tory 29%	Labour
Focaldata	Tory 33%	Labour 33%	Labour
WeThink	Labour 36%	Tory 29%	Labour
Electoral Calculus	Tory 35%	Labour 31%	Labour
More in Common	Labour 35%	Tory 34%	Labour
JL Partners	Tory 32%	Labour 30%	Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.