General election 2024

Gainsborough

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Labour

Jess McGuire

2019 election result

  Tories 66.4%

  Labour 21.4%

  Lib Dem 10.1%

  Independent 2.1%

Labour are in second place in this seat, so are likely to be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Tory 37% Labour 29% Labour
Survation Tory 34% Labour 34% Labour
Ipsos Tory 37% Labour 33% Labour
Savanta Labour 36% Tory 27% Labour
Focaldata Tory 33% Labour 32% Labour
WeThink Labour 32% Tory 28% Labour
Electoral Calculus Labour 32% Tory 28% Labour
More in Common Tory 35% Labour 30% Labour
JL Partners Tory 39% Labour 29% Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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