General election 2024

Frome and East Somerset

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Lib Dem

Anna Sabine

Notional 2019 election result

  Tories 53.5%

  Lib Dem 25.1%

  Labour 17.2%

  Green 3.8%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 41% North East Somerset (2019), 54% Somerton and Frome (2019), 5% Wells (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

The Lib Dems would have been the most likely second place in 2019 under these new boundaries, so should be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Lib Dem 35% Tory 22% Lib Dem
Survation Lib Dem 31% Labour 29% None
Ipsos Labour 31% Tory 28% Labour
Savanta Lib Dem 31% Tory 29% Lib Dem
Focaldata Tory 29% Lib Dem 26% Lib Dem
WeThink Lib Dem 35% Tory 23% Lib Dem
Electoral Calculus Lib Dem 40% Tory 19% Lib Dem
More in Common Labour 22% Lib Dem 22% None
JL Partners Labour 31% Tory 22% Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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