General election 2024

Exmouth and Exeter East

Tactical voting recommendation

Not sure

Notional 2019 election result

  Tories 48.7%

  Independent 34.4%

  Labour 11.7%

  Lib Dem 2.6%

  Green 2.2%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 2% Central Devon (2019), 84% East Devon (2019), 14% Exeter (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

The strong performance of an independent candidate in one of the predecessors of this seat makes it difficult to call. Polling may also be unreliable here.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Tory 26% Labour 26% Labour
Survation - - -
Ipsos Tory 34% Labour 26% Labour
Savanta Tory 30% Labour 30% Labour
Focaldata Tory 30% Labour 29% Labour
WeThink Labour 32% Tory 25% Labour
Electoral Calculus Lib Dem 30% Tory 28% Lib Dem
More in Common Labour 29% Tory 28% Labour
JL Partners Tory 31% Labour 27% Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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