Ely and East Cambridgeshire

To vote tactically here, vote

Lib Dem

Charlotte Cane

Notional 2019 election result

Tories 53.6%

Lib Dem 28.7%

Labour 16%

Independent 1.2%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 17% North East Cambridgeshire (2019), 6% South Cambridgeshire (2019), 77% South East Cambridgeshire (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

The Lib Dems would have been the most likely second place in 2019 under these new boundaries, so should be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster	Winner	Runner-up	Implied tactical
YouGov	Lib Dem 40%	Tory 29%	Lib Dem
Survation	Lib Dem 31%	Tory 28%	Lib Dem
Ipsos	Tory 34%	Labour 28%	Labour
Savanta	Lib Dem 30%	Tory 29%	Lib Dem
Focaldata	Tory 28%	Lib Dem 24%	Lib Dem
WeThink	Tory 31%	Lib Dem 26%	Lib Dem
Electoral Calculus	Lib Dem 33%	Tory 28%	Lib Dem
More in Common	Lib Dem 29%	Tory 28%	Lib Dem
JL Partners	Lib Dem 31%	Tory 26%	Lib Dem

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.