General election 2024
The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.
This constituency is made up of 7% Edinburgh East (2019), 93% Edinburgh South (2019).
For more details on the calculation see the method page.
This seat is a contest between two progressive parties. Vote for whichever you prefer.
This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:
| Pollster | Winner | Runner-up | Implied tactical |
|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | Labour 55% | SNP 16% | None |
| Survation | Labour 66% | SNP 10% | None |
| Ipsos | Labour 51% | SNP 19% | None |
| Savanta | Labour 65% | SNP 15% | None |
| Focaldata | Labour 55% | SNP 16% | None |
| WeThink | Labour 54% | SNP 12% | None |
| Electoral Calculus | Labour 60% | SNP 14% | None |
| More in Common | Labour 61% | SNP 12% | None |
| JL Partners | Labour 52% | SNP 16% | None |
Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.
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