General election 2024
The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.
This constituency is made up of 13% East Lothian (2019), 87% Edinburgh East (2019).
For more details on the calculation see the method page.
This seat is a contest between two progressive parties. Vote for whichever you prefer.
This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:
| Pollster | Winner | Runner-up | Implied tactical |
|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | SNP 35% | Labour 34% | None |
| Survation | Labour 43% | SNP 30% | None |
| Ipsos | Labour 40% | SNP 36% | None |
| Savanta | Labour 48% | SNP 33% | None |
| Focaldata | Labour 43% | SNP 33% | None |
| WeThink | Labour 43% | SNP 34% | None |
| Electoral Calculus | Labour 44% | SNP 32% | None |
| More in Common | Labour 50% | SNP 26% | None |
| JL Partners | Labour 46% | SNP 26% | None |
Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.
Promoted by the Tactical Voting Coalition, 483 Green Lanes, London N13 4BS