General election 2024

East Worthing and Shoreham

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Tom Rutland

2019 election result

  Tories 51%

  Labour 37%

  Lib Dem 7.8%

  Green 3.8%

Labour are in second place in this seat, so are likely to be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Labour 49% Tory 25% Labour
Survation Labour 47% Tory 24% Labour
Ipsos Labour 48% Tory 27% Labour
Savanta Labour 49% Tory 24% Labour
Focaldata Labour 45% Tory 25% Labour
WeThink Labour 59% Tory 22% Labour
Electoral Calculus Labour 51% Reform 19% Labour
More in Common Labour 44% Tory 28% Labour
JL Partners Labour 42% Tory 23% Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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