East Wiltshire

To vote tactically here, vote

Labour

Rob Newman

Notional 2019 election result

Tories 60.5%

Labour 19%

Lib Dem 15.7%

Green 4.6%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 69% Devizes (2019), 18% Salisbury (2019), 13% South Swindon (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

Labour would have been the most likely second place in 2019 under these new boundaries, so should be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster	Winner	Runner-up	Implied tactical
YouGov	Tory 39%	Labour 32%	Labour
Survation	Tory 35%	Labour 31%	Labour
Ipsos	Tory 36%	Labour 32%	Labour
Savanta	Tory 33%	Labour 31%	Labour
Focaldata	Tory 37%	Labour 27%	Labour
WeThink	Tory 31%	Labour 30%	Labour
Electoral Calculus	Labour 34%	Tory 29%	Labour
More in Common	Tory 40%	Labour 20%	Labour
JL Partners	Tory 33%	Labour 25%	Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.