General election 2024
The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.
This constituency is made up of 20% Horsham (2019), 11% Lewes (2019), 36% Mid Sussex (2019), 32% Wealden (2019).
For more details on the calculation see the method page.
We have removed this tactical voting recommendation because it was contradicted by multiple independent polls.
This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:
| Pollster | Winner | Runner-up | Implied tactical |
|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | Tory 34% | Lib Dem 29% | Lib Dem |
| Survation | Tory 37% | Labour 35% | Labour |
| Ipsos | Tory 45% | Labour 30% | Labour |
| Savanta | Tory 43% | Labour 32% | Labour |
| Focaldata | Tory 37% | Labour 31% | Labour |
| WeThink | Tory 40% | Labour 27% | Labour |
| Electoral Calculus | Tory 47% | Labour 25% | Labour |
| More in Common | Tory 39% | Lib Dem 24% | Lib Dem |
Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.
Promoted by the Tactical Voting Coalition, 483 Green Lanes, London N13 4BS