General election 2024
The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.
This constituency is made up of 12% Ealing Central and Acton (2019), 2% Ealing North (2019), 86% Ealing, Southall (2019).
For more details on the calculation see the method page.
This is a 'safe' seat for a progressive party. We believe tactical voting is not needed this time. We encourage you to vote for your preferred party.
This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:
| Pollster | Winner | Runner-up | Implied tactical |
|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | Labour 57% | Tory 14% | Labour |
| Survation | Labour 44% | Other 25% | None |
| Ipsos | Labour 67% | Tory 15% | Labour |
| Savanta | Labour 62% | Tory 18% | Labour |
| Focaldata | Labour 64% | Tory 12% | Labour |
| WeThink | Labour 55% | Tory 15% | Labour |
| Electoral Calculus | Labour 60% | Reform 12% | Labour |
| More in Common | Labour 56% | Tory 15% | Labour |
| JL Partners | Labour 54% | Tory 17% | Labour |
Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.
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