Dwyfor Meirionnydd

To vote tactically here, vote

Plaid

Liz Saville Roberts

Notional 2019 election result

Plaid 46%

Tories 27.2%

Labour 22.4%

Brexit Party 5.2%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 35% Arfon (2019), 62% Dwyfor Meirionnydd (2019), 4% Clwyd South (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

Plaid Cymru are most likely to have won this seat if these were the boundaries in 2019, so should be best placed to defeat the Tories again this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster	Winner	Runner-up	Implied tactical
YouGov	Plaid 47%	Tory 16%	Plaid
Survation	Plaid 52%	Tory 20%	Plaid
Ipsos	Plaid 44%	Labour 24%	None
Savanta	Plaid 59%	Labour 17%	None
Focaldata	Plaid 39%	Labour 22%	None
WeThink	Plaid 55%	Labour 16%	None
Electoral Calculus	Plaid 49%	Labour 21%	None
More in Common	Plaid 42%	Reform 32%	Plaid
JL Partners	Plaid 49%	Labour 24%	None

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.