General election 2024

Doncaster Central

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Labour

Sally Jameson

Notional 2019 election result

  Labour 39.7%

  Tories 35.1%

  Brexit Party 16.3%

  Lib Dem 4.2%

  The Yorkshire Party 2.4%

  Green 2.3%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 7% Don Valley (2019), 93% Doncaster Central (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

Labour are most likely to have won this seat if these were the boundaries in 2019, so should be best placed to defeat the Tories again this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Labour 50% Reform 23% Labour
Survation Labour 47% Reform 21% Labour
Ipsos Labour 49% Tory 21% Labour
Savanta Labour 51% Reform 22% Labour
Focaldata Labour 48% Reform 26% Labour
WeThink Labour 58% Reform 17% Labour
Electoral Calculus Labour 46% Reform 31% Labour
More in Common Labour 42% Reform 24% Labour
JL Partners Labour 37% Reform 30% Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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