General election 2024

Cumbernauld and Kirkintilloch

Tactical voting recommendation

None

Notional 2019 election result

  SNP 51.5%

  Labour 25.9%

  Tories 15.5%

  Lib Dem 5.9%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 15% Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill (2019), 84% Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East (2019), 0% East Dunbartonshire (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

This seat is a contest between two progressive parties. Vote for whichever you prefer.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Labour 45% SNP 37% None
Survation Labour 46% SNP 26% None
Ipsos Labour 44% SNP 38% None
Savanta Labour 48% SNP 37% None
Focaldata SNP 40% Labour 38% None
WeThink SNP 41% Labour 31% None
Electoral Calculus Labour 40% SNP 37% None
More in Common Labour 40% SNP 33% None
JL Partners Labour 50% SNP 27% None

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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