General election 2024

Croydon East

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Labour

Natasha Dawn Irons

Notional 2019 election result

  Labour 48.5%

  Tories 40.4%

  Lib Dem 7.1%

  Green 2.3%

  Brexit Party 1.7%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 91% Croydon Central (2019), 9% Croydon South (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

Labour are most likely to have won this seat if these were the boundaries in 2019, so should be best placed to defeat the Tories again this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Labour 43% Tory 19% Labour
Survation Labour 51% Tory 23% Labour
Ipsos Labour 55% Tory 24% Labour
Savanta Labour 59% Tory 23% Labour
Focaldata Labour 53% Tory 23% Labour
WeThink Labour 62% Tory 17% Labour
Electoral Calculus Labour 43% Reform 24% Labour
More in Common Labour 52% Tory 24% Labour
JL Partners Labour 45% Tory 24% Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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