General election 2024

Crewe and Nantwich

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Connor Naismith

Notional 2019 election result

  Tories 53.2%

  Labour 37.2%

  Lib Dem 5%

  Brexit Party 2.5%

  Green 1.8%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 99% Crewe and Nantwich (2019), 1% Eddisbury (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

Labour would have been the most likely second place in 2019 under these new boundaries, so should be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Labour 43% Reform 24% Labour
Survation Labour 55% Tory 28% Labour
Ipsos Labour 51% Tory 23% Labour
Savanta Labour 52% Tory 22% Labour
Focaldata Labour 48% Tory 26% Labour
WeThink Labour 50% Tory 25% Labour
Electoral Calculus Labour 51% Reform 24% Labour
More in Common Labour 54% Tory 23% Labour
JL Partners Labour 41% Tory 24% Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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