General election 2024

Coventry South

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Zarah Sultana

Notional 2019 election result

  Labour 45.1%

  Tories 41.2%

  Lib Dem 7%

  Brexit Party 3.5%

  Green 2.5%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 18% Coventry North East (2019), 82% Coventry South (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

Labour are most likely to have won this seat if these were the boundaries in 2019, so should be best placed to defeat the Tories again this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Labour 55% Tory 20% Labour
Survation Labour 52% Tory 21% Labour
Ipsos Labour 50% Tory 24% Labour
Savanta Labour 56% Tory 21% Labour
Focaldata Labour 48% Tory 24% Labour
WeThink Labour 55% Tory 18% Labour
Electoral Calculus Labour 58% Reform 15% Labour
More in Common Labour 52% Tory 20% Labour
JL Partners Labour 41% Tory 26% Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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