General election 2024

Congleton

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Labour

Sarah Alison Russell

Notional 2019 election result

  Tories 58.9%

  Labour 26.5%

  Lib Dem 10.6%

  Green 2.8%

  Animal Welfare Party 1.1%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 99% Congleton (2019), 1% Eddisbury (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

Labour would have been the most likely second place in 2019 under these new boundaries, so should be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Labour 42% Tory 36% Labour
Survation Labour 44% Tory 30% Labour
Ipsos Labour 40% Tory 35% Labour
Savanta Labour 37% Tory 27% Labour
Focaldata Tory 35% Labour 33% Labour
WeThink Tory 35% Labour 35% Labour
Electoral Calculus Labour 37% Tory 27% Labour
More in Common Labour 41% Tory 32% Labour
JL Partners Labour 35% Tory 30% Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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