Clacton

To vote tactically here, vote

Labour

Jovan Owusu-Nepaul

Notional 2019 election result

Tories 71.5%

Labour 16%

Lib Dem 6.2%

Independent 3%

Green 2.9%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 93% Clacton (2019), 7% Harwich and North Essex (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

Labour would have been the most likely second place in 2019 under these new boundaries, so should be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster	Winner	Runner-up	Implied tactical
YouGov	Reform 40%	Tory 30%	Labour
Survation	Reform 36%	Labour 27%	Labour
Ipsos	Reform 52%	Labour 24%	Labour
Savanta	Labour 33%	Tory 29%	Labour
Focaldata	Tory 35%	Reform 34%	Labour
WeThink	Tory 38%	Labour 24%	Labour
Electoral Calculus	Reform 40%	Tory 26%	Labour
More in Common	Reform 36%	Tory 33%	Labour
JL Partners	Reform 37%	Tory 29%	Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.