General election 2024
The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.
This constituency is made up of 83% Chingford and Woodford Green (2019), 17% Ilford North (2019).
For more details on the calculation see the method page.
A progressive independent candidate here, Faiza Shaheen, is polling well. This now makes the best tactical vote unclear. We have withdrawn our previous recommendation.
This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:
| Pollster | Winner | Runner-up | Implied tactical |
|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | Labour 35% | Tory 26% | Labour |
| Survation | Labour 52% | Tory 32% | Labour |
| Ipsos | Labour 39% | Tory 36% | Labour |
| Savanta | Labour 56% | Tory 26% | Labour |
| Focaldata | Labour 46% | Tory 28% | Labour |
| WeThink | Labour 41% | Tory 27% | Labour |
| Electoral Calculus | Labour 35% | Tory 34% | Labour |
| More in Common | Labour 50% | Tory 31% | Labour |
| JL Partners | Labour 42% | Tory 27% | Labour |
Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.
Promoted by the Tactical Voting Coalition, 483 Green Lanes, London N13 4BS