General election 2024
The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.
This constituency is made up of 27% City of Chester (2019), 6% Crewe and Nantwich (2019), 58% Eddisbury (2019), 9% Weaver Vale (2019).
For more details on the calculation see the method page.
Labour would have been the most likely second place in 2019 under these new boundaries, so should be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.
This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:
| Pollster | Winner | Runner-up | Implied tactical |
|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | Tory 38% | Labour 34% | Labour |
| Survation | Labour 46% | Tory 32% | Labour |
| Ipsos | Tory 35% | Labour 34% | Labour |
| Savanta | Labour 38% | Tory 27% | Labour |
| Focaldata | Tory 35% | Labour 34% | Labour |
| WeThink | Labour 32% | Tory 28% | Labour |
| Electoral Calculus | Labour 42% | Tory 27% | Labour |
| More in Common | Labour 38% | Tory 37% | Labour |
Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.
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