General election 2024

Chester South and Eddisbury

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Labour

Angeliki Stogia

Notional 2019 election result

  Tories 50.4%

  Labour 32.4%

  Lib Dem 13.2%

  Green 2.3%

  Brexit Party 1.1%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 27% City of Chester (2019), 6% Crewe and Nantwich (2019), 58% Eddisbury (2019), 9% Weaver Vale (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

Labour would have been the most likely second place in 2019 under these new boundaries, so should be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Labour 38% Tory 36% Labour
Survation Labour 46% Tory 28% Labour
Ipsos Tory 35% Labour 34% Labour
Savanta Labour 38% Tory 27% Labour
Focaldata Tory 36% Labour 33% Labour
WeThink Labour 32% Tory 28% Labour
Electoral Calculus Labour 41% Tory 26% Labour
More in Common Tory 32% Labour 32% Labour
JL Partners Labour 33% Tory 30% Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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