General election 2024


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Lib Dem

Max Wilkinson

2019 election result

  Tories 48%

  Lib Dem 46.3%

  Labour 4.9%

The Lib Dems are in second place in this seat, so are likely to be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Lib Dem 61% Tory 27% Lib Dem
Survation Lib Dem 56% Tory 30% Lib Dem
Ipsos Lib Dem 60% Tory 26% Lib Dem
Savanta Lib Dem 49% Tory 32% Lib Dem
Focaldata Lib Dem 58% Tory 31% Lib Dem
WeThink Lib Dem 62% Tory 23% Lib Dem
Electoral Calculus Lib Dem 69% Tory 23% Lib Dem
More in Common Lib Dem 61% Tory 23% Lib Dem
JL Partners Lib Dem 53% Tory 28% Lib Dem

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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