General election 2024


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Lib Dem

Marie Goldman

2019 election result

  Tories 55.9%

  Lib Dem 25.1%

  Labour 18%

  Monster Raving Loony Party 1%

The Lib Dems are in second place in this seat, so are likely to be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Lib Dem 40% Tory 26% Lib Dem
Survation Tory 34% Labour 32% Labour
Ipsos Tory 31% Lib Dem 29% Lib Dem
Savanta Tory 30% Labour 28% Labour
Focaldata Tory 31% Lib Dem 28% Lib Dem
WeThink Tory 32% Lib Dem 28% Lib Dem
Electoral Calculus Lib Dem 44% Tory 27% Lib Dem
More in Common Tory 30% Labour 29% Labour
JL Partners Lib Dem 27% Tory 27% Lib Dem

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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