General election 2024


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Lib Dem

Tom Morrison

2019 election result

  Tories 46%

  Lib Dem 41.8%

  Labour 12.3%

The Lib Dems are in second place in this seat, so are likely to be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Lib Dem 49% Tory 29% Lib Dem
Survation Lib Dem 53% Labour 19% None
Ipsos Lib Dem 40% Tory 27% Lib Dem
Savanta Lib Dem 43% Tory 25% Lib Dem
Focaldata Lib Dem 52% Tory 25% Lib Dem
WeThink Lib Dem 41% Tory 23% Lib Dem
Electoral Calculus Lib Dem 50% Tory 24% Lib Dem
More in Common Lib Dem 47% Tory 26% Lib Dem
JL Partners Lib Dem 40% Tory 23% Lib Dem

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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