General election 2024

Ceredigion Preseli

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Ben Lake

Notional 2019 election result

  Plaid 30.4%

  Tories 28.9%

  Labour 21.2%

  Lib Dem 14.3%

  Brexit Party 3.9%

  Green 1.3%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 76% Ceredigion (2019), 24% Preseli Pembrokeshire (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

Plaid Cymru are most likely to have won this seat if these were the boundaries in 2019, so should be best placed to defeat the Tories again this time.

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