General election 2024

Central Ayrshire

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SNP

Annie McIndoe

2019 election result

  SNP 46.2%

  Tories 34.8%

  Labour 14.1%

  Lib Dem 4.9%

The SNP won this seat in 2019, so are likely to be best placed to defeat the Tories again this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Labour 36% SNP 32% None
Survation Labour 43% SNP 26% None
Ipsos Labour 35% SNP 32% None
Savanta Labour 36% SNP 32% None
Focaldata Labour 35% SNP 29% None
WeThink SNP 33% Labour 29% None
Electoral Calculus Labour 34% SNP 32% None
More in Common Labour 40% SNP 28% None
JL Partners Labour 35% SNP 28% None

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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