General election 2024


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Rosie Duffield

2019 election result

  Labour 48.3%

  Tories 45.2%

  Lib Dem 5.7%

Labour won this seat in 2019, so are likely to be best placed to defeat the Tories again this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Labour 53% Tory 21% Labour
Survation Labour 59% Tory 27% Labour
Ipsos Labour 56% Tory 22% Labour
Savanta Labour 55% Tory 22% Labour
Focaldata Labour 51% Tory 24% Labour
WeThink Labour 56% Tory 22% Labour
Electoral Calculus Labour 55% Tory 17% Labour
More in Common Labour 53% Tory 23% Labour
JL Partners Labour 44% Tory 25% Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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